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		<title>Regulation lax as gas wells’ tainted water hits rivers</title>
		<link>http://tevinh123.wordpress.com/2011/02/28/regulation-lax-as-gas-wells%e2%80%99-tainted-water-hits-rivers/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Feb 2011 03:19:14 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[NEW YORK — The American landscape is dotted with hundreds of thousands of new wells and drilling rigs, as the country scrambles to tap into this century’s gold rush — for natural gas. The gas has always been there, of course, trapped deep underground in countless tiny bubbles, like frozen spills of seltzer water between thin [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=tevinh123.wordpress.com&amp;blog=4824969&amp;post=123&amp;subd=tevinh123&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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<p>NEW YORK — The American landscape is  dotted with hundreds of thousands of new wells and drilling rigs, as the  country scrambles to tap into this century’s gold rush — for natural  gas.</p>
<p>The gas has always been there, of course, trapped deep underground in  countless tiny bubbles, like frozen spills of seltzer water between  thin layers of shale rock. But drilling companies have only in recent  years developed techniques to unlock the enormous reserves, thought to  be enough to supply the country with gas for heating buildings,  generating electricity and powering vehicles for up to a hundred years.</p>
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<p>So energy companies are clamoring to drill. And they are getting rare  support from their usual sparring partners. Environmentalists say using  natural gas will help slow climate change because it burns more cleanly  than coal and oil. Lawmakers hail the gas as a source of jobs. They  also see it as a way to wean the United States from its dependency on  other countries for oil.</p>
<p>But the relatively new drilling method — known as high-volume  horizontal hydraulic fracturing, or hydrofracking — carries significant  environmental risks. It involves injecting huge amounts of water, mixed  with sand and chemicals, at high pressures to break up rock formations  and release the gas.</p>
<p>With hydrofracking, a well can produce over a million gallons of  wastewater that is often laced with highly corrosive salts, carcinogens  like benzene and radioactive elements like radium, all of which can  occur naturally thousands of feet underground. Other carcinogenic  materials can be added to the wastewater by the chemicals used in the  hydrofracking itself.</p>
<p>While the existence of the toxic wastes has been reported, thousands  of internal documents obtained by The New York Times from the  Environmental Protection Agency, state regulators and drillers show that  the dangers to the environment and health are greater than previously  understood.</p>
<p>The documents reveal that the wastewater, which is sometimes hauled  to sewage plants not designed to treat it and then discharged into  rivers that supply drinking water, contains radioactivity at levels  higher than previously known, and far higher than the level that federal  regulators say is safe for these treatment plants to handle.</p>
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<p>Other documents and interviews show that many E.P.A. scientists are  alarmed, warning that the drilling waste is a threat to drinking water  in Pennsylvania. Their concern is based partly on a 2009 study, never  made public, written by an E.P.A. consultant who concluded that some  sewage treatment plants were incapable of removing certain drilling  waste contaminants and were probably violating the law.</p>
<p>The Times also found never-reported studies by the E.P.A. and a  confidential study by the drilling industry that all concluded that  radioactivity in drilling waste cannot be fully diluted in rivers and  other waterways.</p>
<p>But the E.P.A. has not intervened. In fact, federal and state  regulators are allowing most sewage treatment plants that accept  drilling waste not to test for radioactivity. And most drinking-water  intake plants downstream from those sewage treatment plants in  Pennsylvania, with the blessing of regulators, have not tested for  radioactivity since before 2006, even though the drilling boom began in  2008.</p>
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<div><img src="http://msnbcmedia1.msn.com/j/MSNBC/Components/Photo/_new/pb-110114-frack-jb.grid-5x2.jpg" alt="Image: Protesters in Pennsylvania" width="396" height="264" /></div>
<p>Matt Rourke 	     /  	    AP</p>
<div>Fracking opponents protest before Tom Corbett&#8217;s inauguration as  Pennsylvania governor at the state capitol in Harrisburg, Pa., on Jan.  18.</div>
</div>
<p>In other words, there is no way of guaranteeing that the drinking water taken in by all these plants is safe.</p>
<p>That has experts worried.</p>
<p>“We’re burning the furniture to heat the house,” said John H.  Quigley, who left last month as secretary of Pennsylvania’s Department  of Conservation and Natural Resources. “In shifting away from coal and  toward natural gas, we’re trying for cleaner air, but we’re producing  massive amounts of toxic wastewater with salts and naturally occurring  radioactive materials, and it’s not clear we have a plan for properly  handling this waste.”</p>
<p>The risks are particularly severe in Pennsylvania, which has seen a  sharp increase in drilling, with roughly 71,000 active gas wells, up  from about 36,000 in 2000. The level of radioactivity in the wastewater  has sometimes been hundreds or even thousands of times the maximum  allowed by the federal standard for drinking water. While people clearly  do not drink drilling wastewater, the reason to use the drinking-water  standard for comparison is that there is no comprehensive federal  standard for what constitutes safe levels of radioactivity in drilling  wastewater.</p>
<p>Drillers trucked at least half of this waste to public sewage  treatment plants in Pennsylvania in 2008 and 2009, according to state  officials. Some of it has been sent to other states, including New York  and West Virginia.</p>
<p>Yet sewage treatment plant operators say they are far less capable of  removing radioactive contaminants than most other toxic substances.  Indeed, most of these facilities cannot remove enough of the radioactive  material to meet federal drinking-water standards before discharging  the wastewater into rivers, sometimes just miles upstream from  drinking-water intake plants.</p>
<p>In Pennsylvania, these treatment plants discharged waste into some of  the state’s major river basins. Greater amounts of the wastewater went  to the Monongahela River, which provides drinking water to more than  800,000 people in the western part of the state, including Pittsburgh,  and to the Susquehanna River, which feeds into Chesapeake Bay and  provides drinking water to more than six million people, including some  in Harrisburg and Baltimore.</p>
<p>Lower amounts have been discharged into the Delaware River, which  provides drinking water for more than 15 million people in Philadelphia  and eastern Pennsylvania.</p>
<p>In New York, the wastewater was sent to two plants that discharge  into Southern Cayuga Lake, near Ithaca, and Owasco Outlet, near Auburn.  In West Virginia, a plant in Wheeling discharged gas-drilling wastewater  into the Ohio River.</p>
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<p>“Hydrofracking impacts associated with health problems as well as  widespread air and water contamination have been reported in at least a  dozen states,” said Walter Hang, president of Toxics Targeting, a  business in Ithaca, N.Y., that compiles data on gas drilling.</p>
<p><strong>Problems in Other Regions<br />
</strong>While Pennsylvania is an extreme case, the risks posed by hydrofracking extend across the country.</p>
<p>There were more than 493,000 active natural-gas wells in the United  States in 2009, almost double the number in 1990. Around 90 percent have  used hydrofracking to get more gas flowing, according to the drilling  industry.</p>
<p>Gas has seeped into underground drinking-water supplies in at least  five states, including Colorado, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas and West  Virginia, and residents blamed natural-gas drilling.</p>
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<p>Air pollution caused by natural-gas drilling is a growing threat,  too. Wyoming, for example, failed in 2009 to meet federal standards for  air quality for the first time in its history partly because of the  fumes containing benzene and toluene from roughly 27,000 wells, the vast  majority drilled in the past five years.</p>
<p>In a sparsely populated Sublette County in Wyoming, which has some of  the highest concentrations of wells, vapors reacting to sunlight have  contributed to levels of ozone higher than those recorded in Houston and  Los Angeles.</p>
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<p>Industry officials say any dangerous waste from the wells is handled  in compliance with state and federal laws, adding that drilling  companies are recycling more wastewater now. They also say that  hydrofracking is well regulated by the states and that it has been used  safely for decades.</p>
<p>But hydrofracking technology has become more powerful and more widely  used in recent years, producing far more wastewater. Some of the  problems with this drilling, including its environmental impact and the  challenge of disposing of waste, have been documented by ProPublica, The  Associated Press and other news organizations.</p>
<p>And recent incidents underscore the dangers. In late 2008, drilling  and coal-mine waste released during a drought so overwhelmed the  Monongahela that local officials advised people in the Pittsburgh area  to drink bottled water. E.P.A. officials described the incident in an  internal memorandum as “one of the largest failures in U.S. history to  supply clean drinking water to the public.”</p>
<p>In Texas, which now has about 93,000 natural-gas wells, up from  around 58,000 a dozen years ago, a hospital system in six counties with  some of the heaviest drilling said in 2010 that it found a 25 percent  asthma rate for young children, more than three times the state rate of  about 7 percent.</p>
<p>“It’s ruining us,” said Kelly Gant, whose 14-year-old daughter and  11-year-old son have experienced severe asthma attacks, dizzy spells and  headaches since a compressor station and a gas well were set up about  two years ago near her house in Bartonville, Tex. The industry and state  regulators have said it is not clear what role the gas industry has  played in causing such problems, since the area has had high air  pollution for a while.</p>
<p>“I’m not an activist, an alarmist, a Democrat, environmentalist or  anything like that,” Ms. Gant said. “I’m just a person who isn’t able to  manage the health of my family because of all this drilling.”</p>
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<p>And yet, for all its problems, natural gas offers some clear  environmental advantages over coal, which is used more than any other  fuel to generate electricity in the United States. Coal-fired power  plants without updated equipment to capture pollutants are a major  source of radioactive pollution. Coal mines annually produce millions of  tons of toxic waste.</p>
<p>But the hazards associated with natural-gas production and drilling  are far less understood than those associated with other fossil fuels,  and the regulations have not kept pace with the natural-gas industry’s  expansion.</p>
<p><strong>Pennsylvania, Ground Zero<br />
</strong>Pennsylvania, which sits atop an enormous reserve called the Marcellus Shale, has been called the Saudi Arabia of natural gas.</p>
<p>This rock formation, roughly the size of Greece, lies more than a  mile beneath the Appalachian landscape, from Virginia to the southern  half of New York. It is believed to hold enough gas to supply the  country’s energy needs for heat and electricity, at current consumption  rates, for more than 15 years.</p>
<p>Drilling companies were issued roughly 3,300 Marcellus gas-well permits in Pennsylvania last year, up from just 117 in 2007.</p>
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<div><img src="http://msnbcmedia3.msn.com/j/MSNBC/Components/Photo/_new/101111_fracking-protest.grid-6x2.jpg" alt="Image: Protest in Pittsburgh" width="474" height="242" /></div>
<p>Keith Srakocic 	     /  	    AP</p>
<div>Protestors against drilling in the Marcellus Shale reserve march  across the Rachel Carson Bridge on their way through Pittsburgh on Nov.  3.</div>
</div>
<p>This has brought thousands of jobs, five-figure windfalls for  residents who lease their land to the drillers and revenue for a state  that has struggled with budget deficits. It has also transformed the  landscape of southwestern Pennsylvania and brought heavy burdens.</p>
<p>Drilling derricks tower over barns, lining rural roads like feed  silos. Drilling sites bustle around the clock with workers, some in  yellow hazardous material suits, and 18-wheelers haul equipment, water  and waste along back roads.</p>
<p>The rigs announce their presence with the occasional boom and quiver  of underground explosions. Smelling like raw sewage mixed with gasoline,  drilling-waste pits, some as large as a football field, sit close to  homes.</p>
<p>Anywhere from 10 percent to 40 percent of the water sent down the  well during hydrofracking returns to the surface, carrying drilling  chemicals, very high levels of salts and, at times, naturally occurring  radioactive material.</p>
<p>While most states require drillers to dispose of this water in  underground storage wells below impermeable rock layers, Pennsylvania  has few such wells. It is the only state that has allowed drillers to  discharge much of their waste through sewage treatment plants into  rivers.</p>
<p>Regulators have theorized that passing drilling waste through the  plants is safe because most toxic material will settle during the  treatment process into a sludge that can be trucked to a landfill, and  whatever toxic material remains in the wastewater will be diluted when  mixed into rivers. But some plants were taking such large amounts of  waste with high salt levels in 2008 that downstream utilities started  complaining that the river water was eating away at their machines.</p>
<p>Regulators and drilling companies have said that these cases, and others, were isolated.</p>
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<p>“The wastewater treatment plants are effective at what they’re  designed to do — remove material from wastewater,” said Jamie Legenos, a  spokeswoman for the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental  Protection, adding that the radioactive material and the salts were  being properly handled.</p>
<p><strong>Overwhelmed, Underprepared<br />
</strong>For proof that radioactive elements in drilling waste are  not a concern, industry spokesmen and regulators often point to the  results of wastewater tests from a 2009 draft report conducted by New  York State and a 1995 report by Pennsylvania that found that  radioactivity in drilling waste was not a threat. These two reports were  based on samples from roughly 13 gas wells in New York and 29 in  Pennsylvania.</p>
<p>But a review by The Times of more than 30,000 pages of federal, state  and company records relating to more than 200 gas wells in  Pennsylvania, 40 in West Virginia and 20 public and private wastewater  treatment plants offers a fuller picture of the wastewater such wells  produce and the threat it poses.</p>
<p>Most of the information was drawn from drilling reports from the last  three years, obtained by visiting regional offices throughout  Pennsylvania, and from documents or databases provided by state and  federal regulators in response to records requests.</p>
<p>Among The Times’s findings:</p>
<ul>
<li>More than 1.3 billion gallons of wastewater was produced by  Pennsylvania wells over the past three years, far more than has been  previously disclosed. Most of this water — enough to cover Manhattan in  three inches — was sent to treatment plants not equipped to remove many  of the toxic materials in drilling waste.</li>
<li>At least 12 sewage treatment plants in three states accepted gas  industry wastewater and discharged waste that was only partly treated  into rivers, lakes and streams.</li>
<li>Of more than 179 wells producing wastewater with high levels of  radiation, at least 116 reported levels of radium or other radioactive  materials 100 times as high as the levels set by federal drinking-water  standards. At least 15 wells produced wastewater carrying more than  1,000 times the amount of radioactive elements considered acceptable.</li>
</ul>
<p>Results came from field surveys conducted by state and federal  regulators, year-end reports filed by drilling companies and  state-ordered tests of some public treatment plants. Most of the tests  measured drilling wastewater for radium or for “gross alpha” radiation,  which typically comes from radium, uranium and other elements.</p>
<p>Industry officials say they are not concerned.</p>
<p>“These low levels of radioactivity pose no threat to the public or  worker safety and are more a public perception issue than a real health  threat,” said James E. Grey, chief operating officer of Triana Energy.</p>
<p>In interviews, industry trade groups like the Marcellus Shale  Coalition and Energy in Depth, as well as representatives from energy  companies like Shell and <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/41806118/ns/world_news-the_new_york_times/#" target="_blank">Chesapeake Energy<img src="http://images.intellitxt.com/ast/adTypes/2_11pxw.gif" alt="" /></a>,  said they were producing far less wastewater because they were  recycling much of it rather than disposing of it after each job.</p>
<p>But even with recycling, the amount of wastewater produced in  Pennsylvania is expected to increase because, according to industry  projections, more than 50,000 new wells are likely to be drilled over  the next two decades.</p>
<p>The radioactivity in the wastewater is not necessarily dangerous to  people who are near it. It can be blocked by thin barriers, including  skin, so exposure is generally harmless.</p>
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<p>Rather, E.P.A. and industry researchers say, the bigger danger of  radioactive wastewater is its potential to contaminate drinking water or  enter the food chain through fish or farming. Once radium enters a  person’s body, by eating, drinking or breathing, it can cause cancer and  other health problems, many federal studies show.</p>
<p><strong>Little Testing for Radioactivity<br />
</strong>Under federal law, testing for radioactivity in drinking  water is required only at drinking-water plants. But federal and state  regulators have given nearly all drinking-water intake facilities in  Pennsylvania permission to test only once every six or nine years.</p>
<p>The Times reviewed data from more than 65 intake plants downstream  from some of the busiest drilling regions in the state. Not one has  tested for radioactivity since 2008, and most have not tested since at  least 2005, before most of the drilling waste was being produced.</p>
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<p>And in 2009 and 2010, public sewage treatment plants directly  upstream from some of these drinking-water intake facilities accepted  wastewater that contained radioactivity levels as high as 2,122 times  the drinking-water standard. But most sewage plants are not required to  monitor for radioactive elements in the water they discharge. So there  is virtually no data on such contaminants as water leaves these plants.  Regulators and gas producers have repeatedly said that the waste is not a  threat because it is so diluted in rivers or by treatment plants. But  industry and federal research cast doubt on those statements.</p>
<p>A confidential industry study from 1990, conducted for the American  Petroleum Institute, concluded that “using conservative assumptions,”  radium in drilling wastewater dumped off the Louisiana coast posed  “potentially significant risks” of cancer for people who eat fish from  those waters regularly.</p>
<p>The industry study focused on drilling industry wastewater being  dumped into the Gulf of Mexico, where it would be far more diluted than  in rivers. It also used estimates of radium levels far below those found  in Pennsylvania’s drilling waste, according to the study’s lead author,  Anne F. Meinhold, an environmental risk expert now at NASA.</p>
<p>Other federal, state and academic studies have also found dilution problems with radioactive drilling waste.</p>
<p>In December 2009, these very risks led E.P.A. scientists to advise in  a letter to New York that sewage treatment plants not accept drilling  waste with radium levels 12 or more times as high as the drinking-water  standard. The Times found wastewater containing radium levels that were  hundreds of times this standard. The scientists also said that the  plants should never discharge radioactive contaminants at levels higher  than the drinking-water standard.</p>
<p>In 2009, E.P.A. scientists studied the matter and also determined  that certain Pennsylvania rivers were ineffective at sufficiently  diluting the radium-laced drilling wastewater being discharged into  them.</p>
<p>Asked about the studies, Pennsylvania regulators said they were not aware of them.</p>
<p>“Concerned? I’m always concerned,” said Dave Allard, director of the  Bureau of Radiation Protection. But he added that the threat of this  waste is reduced because “the dilutions are so huge going through those  treatment plants.”</p>
<p>Three months after The Times began asking questions about radioactive  and other toxic material being discharged into specific rivers, state  regulators placed monitors for radioactivity near where drilling waste  is discharged. Data will not be available until next month, state  officials said.</p>
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<p>But the monitor in the Monongahela is placed upstream from the two  public sewage treatment plants that the state says are still discharging  large amounts of drilling waste into the river, leaving the discharges  from these plants unchecked and Pittsburgh exposed.</p>
<p><strong>Plant Operators in the Dark</strong><br />
In interviews, five treatment plant operators said they did not  believe that the drilling wastewater posed risks to the public. Several  also said they were not sure of the waste’s contents because the limited  information drillers provide usually goes to state officials.</p>
<p>“We count on state regulators to make sure that that’s properly  done,” said Paul McCurdy, environmental specialist at Ridgway Borough’s  public sewage treatment plant, in Elk County, Pa., in the northwest part  of the state.</p>
<p>Mr. McCurdy, whose plant discharges into the Clarion River, which  flows into the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers, said his plant was taking  about 20,000 gallons of drilling waste per day.</p>
<p>Like most of the sewage treatment plant operators interviewed, Mr.  McCurdy said his plant was not equipped to remove radioactive material  and was not required to test for it.</p>
<p>Documents filed by drillers with the state, though, show that in 2009  his facility was sent water from wells whose wastewater was laced with  radium at 275 times the drinking-water standard and with other types of  radiation at more than 780 times the standard.</p>
<p>Part of the problem is that industry has outpaced regulators. “We  simply can’t keep up,” said one inspector with the Pennsylvania  Department of Environmental Protection who was not authorized to speak  to reporters. “There’s just too much of the waste.”</p>
<p>“If we’re too hard on them,” the inspector added, “the companies might just stop reporting their mistakes.”</p>
<p>Recently, Pennsylvania has tried to increase its oversight, doubling  the number of regulators, improving well-design requirements and sharply  decreasing how much drilling waste many treatment plants can accept or  release. The state is considering whether to require treatment plants to  begin monitoring for radioactivity in wastewater.</p>
<p>Even so, as of last November, 31 inspectors were keeping tabs on more  than 125,000 oil and gas wells. The new regulations also allowed at  least 18 plants to continue accepting the higher amounts set by their  original permits.</p>
<p>Furthermore, environmental researchers from the University of  Pittsburgh tested wastewater late last year that had been discharged by  two treatment plants. They say these tests will show, when the results  are publicly released in March, that salt levels were far above the  legal limit.</p>
<p><strong>Lax Oversight<br />
</strong>Drilling contamination is entering the environment in  Pennsylvania through spills, too. In the past three years, at least 16  wells whose records showed high levels of radioactivity in their  wastewater also reported spills, leaks or failures of pits where  hydrofracking fluid or waste is stored, according to state records.</p>
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<p>Gas producers are generally left to police themselves when it comes  to spills. In Pennsylvania, regulators do not perform unannounced  inspections to check for signs of spills. Gas producers report their own  spills, write their own spill response plans and lead their own cleanup  efforts.</p>
<p>A review of response plans for drilling projects at four Pennsylvania  sites where there have been accidents in the past year found that these  state-approved plans often appear to be in violation of the law.</p>
<p>At one well site where several spills occurred within a week,  including one that flowed into a creek, the well’s operator filed a  revised spill plan saying there was little chance that waste would ever  enter a waterway.</p>
<p>“There are business pressures” on companies to “cut corners,” John Hanger, who stepped down as secretary of the Pennsylvania <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/41806118/ns/world_news-the_new_york_times/#" target="_blank">Department of Environmental Protection<img src="http://images.intellitxt.com/ast/adTypes/2_11pxw.gif" alt="" /></a> in January, has said. “It’s cheaper to dump wastewater than to treat it.”</p>
<p>Records back up that assertion.</p>
<p>From October 2008 through October 2010, regulators were more than  twice as likely to issue a written warning than to levy a fine for  environmental and safety violations, according to state data. During  this period, 15 companies were fined for drilling-related violations in  2008 and 2009, and the companies paid an average of about $44,000 each  year, according to state data.</p>
<p>This average was less than half of what some of the companies earned  in profits in a day and a tiny fraction of the more than $2 million that  some of them paid annually to haul and treat the waste.</p>
<p>And prospects for drillers in Pennsylvania are looking brighter.</p>
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<p>In December, the Republican governor-elect, Tom Corbett, who during  his campaign took more gas industry contributions than all his  competitors combined, said he would reopen state land to new drilling,  reversing a decision made by his predecessor, Edward G. Rendell. The  change clears the way for as many as 10,000 wells on public land, up  from about 25 active wells today.</p>
<p>In arguing against a proposed gas-extraction tax on the industry, Mr.  Corbett said regulation of the industry had been too aggressive.</p>
<p>“I will direct the Department of Environmental Protection to serve as  a partner with Pennsylvania businesses, communities and local  governments,” Mr. Corbett says on his Web site. “It should return to its  core mission protecting the environment based on sound science.”</p>
<p><em>This article, </em><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/27/us/27gas.html"><em>Regulation Lax as Gas Wells’ Tainted Water Hits Rivers</em></a><em>, first appeared in The New York Times.</em></p>
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		<title>Arctic Sea Ice Extent in January is Lowest in Recorded History</title>
		<link>http://tevinh123.wordpress.com/2011/02/28/arctic-sea-ice-extent-in-january-is-lowest-in-recorded-history/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Feb 2011 03:14:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tevinh123</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Top Stories Arctic Sea Ice Extent in January is Lowest in Recorded History February 27, 2011 10:08 AM &#8211; Yale Environment 360 While extreme weather conditions and unusually cold temperatures have gripped much of North America and Europe this winter, unusually warm temperatures farther north produced the lowest Arctic sea ice extent ever recorded for [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=tevinh123.wordpress.com&amp;blog=4824969&amp;post=121&amp;subd=tevinh123&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h1>Top Stories</h1>
<p><img src="http://www.enn.com/image_for_articles/42404-1.jpg/medium" alt="" /></p>
<h1><a href="http://www.enn.com/lifestyle/article/42404"> Arctic Sea Ice Extent in January is Lowest in Recorded History</a></p>
<div>February 27, 2011 10:08 AM &#8211; <em>Yale Environment 360</em></div>
</h1>
<p>While extreme weather conditions and unusually cold temperatures  have gripped much of North America and Europe this winter, unusually  warm temperatures farther north produced the lowest Arctic sea ice  extent ever recorded for the month of January, according to NASA. Areas  such as Hudson Bay, Hudson Strait, and Davis Strait — which typically  freeze over by late November — did not completely freeze until  mid-January, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC).  And the Labrador Sea was also unusually ice-free. In this NASA graphic,  based on satellite data, blue indicates open water, white illustrates  high sea ice concentrations, and turquoise indicates loosely packed ice.</p>
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		<title>Small Nuclear War Could Reverse Global Warming for Years</title>
		<link>http://tevinh123.wordpress.com/2011/02/28/small-nuclear-war-could-reverse-global-warming-for-years/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Feb 2011 03:07:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>tevinh123</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Even a regional nuclear war could spark &#8220;unprecedented&#8221; global cooling and reduce rainfall for years, according to U.S. government computer models. Widespread famine and disease would likely follow, experts speculate. During the Cold War a nuclear exchange between superpowers—such as the one feared for years between the United States and the former Soviet Union—was predicted [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=tevinh123.wordpress.com&amp;blog=4824969&amp;post=118&amp;subd=tevinh123&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Even a regional nuclear war could spark &#8220;unprecedented&#8221;  global cooling and reduce rainfall for years, according to U.S.  government computer models. </strong></p>
<p><strong>Widespread famine and disease would likely follow, experts speculate.</strong></p>
<p>During the Cold War a nuclear exchange between superpowers—such as the one feared for years between the <a href="http://travel.nationalgeographic.com/travel/countries/united-states-guide/">United States</a> and the former Soviet Union—was predicted to cause a &#8220;nuclear winter.&#8221;</p>
<p>In  that scenario hundreds of nuclear explosions spark huge fires, whose  smoke, dust, and ash blot out the sun for weeks amid a backdrop of  dangerous radiation levels. Much of humanity eventually dies of  starvation and disease.</p>
<p>Today, with the United States the only  standing superpower, nuclear winter is little more than a nightmare. But  nuclear war remains a very real threat—for instance, between  developing-world nuclear powers, such as <a href="http://travel.nationalgeographic.com/travel/countries/india-guide/">India</a> and <a href="http://travel.nationalgeographic.com/travel/countries/pakistan-guide/">Pakistan</a>.</p>
<p>To  see what climate effects such a regional nuclear conflict might have,  scientists from NASA and other institutions modeled a war involving a  hundred Hiroshima-level bombs, each packing the equivalent of 15,000  tons of TNT—just 0.03 percent of the world&#8217;s current nuclear arsenal.  (See a <em>National Geographic</em> magazine feature on <a href="http://magma.nationalgeographic.com/ngm/0211/feature1/index.html">weapons of mass destruction</a>.)</p>
<p>The  researchers predicted the resulting fires would kick up roughly five  million metric tons of black carbon into the upper part of the  troposphere, the lowest layer of the Earth&#8217;s atmosphere.</p>
<p>In NASA  climate models, this carbon then absorbed solar heat and, like a hot-air  balloon, quickly lofted even higher, where the soot would take much  longer to clear from the sky.</p>
<p>(Related: <a href="http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/03/090305-oldest-plutonium.html">&#8220;&#8216;Nuclear Archaeologists&#8217; Find World War II Plutonium.&#8221;</a>)</p>
<p><strong>Reversing Global Warming?<br />
</strong></p>
<p>The  global cooling caused by these high carbon clouds wouldn&#8217;t be as  catastrophic as a superpower-versus-superpower nuclear winter, but &#8220;the  effects would still be regarded as leading to unprecedented climate  change,&#8221; research physical scientist <a href="http://acdb-ext.gsfc.nasa.gov/People/Oman/">Luke Oman</a> said during a press briefing Friday at a <a href="http://www.aaas.org/meetings/">meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science</a> in Washington, D.C.</p>
<p>Earth is currently in a <a href="http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/12/091208-copenhagen-climate-conference-global-warming-climategate.html">long-term warming trend</a>.  After a regional nuclear war, though, average global temperatures would  drop by 2.25 degrees F (1.25 degrees C) for two to three years  afterward, the models suggest.</p>
<p>At the extreme, the tropics,  Europe, Asia, and Alaska would cool by 5.4 to 7.2 degrees F (3 to 4  degrees C), according to the models. Parts of the Arctic and Antarctic  would actually warm a bit, due to shifted wind and ocean-circulation  patterns, the researchers said.</p>
<p>After ten years, average global  temperatures would still be 0.9 degree F (0.5 degree C) lower than  before the nuclear war, the models predict.</p>
<p>(<a href="http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2011/01/pictures/110119-nuclear-waste-train-castor-antinuclear-protest-germany-power-energy-pictures/">Pictures: &#8220;Red Hot&#8221; Nuclear-Waste Train Glows in Infrared.</a>)</p>
<p><strong>Years Without Summer</strong></p>
<p>For a time Earth would likely be a colder, hungrier planet.</p>
<p>&#8220;Our  results suggest that agriculture could be severely impacted, especially  in areas that are susceptible to late-spring and early-fall frosts,&#8221;  said Oman, of <a href="http://www.nasa.gov/centers/goddard/home/index.html">NASA&#8217;s Goddard Space Flight Center</a> in Greenbelt, Maryland.</p>
<p>&#8220;Examples  similar to the crop failures and famines experienced following the  Mount Tambora eruption in 1815 could be widespread and last several  years,&#8221; he added. That Indonesian volcano ushered in &#8220;the year without  summer,&#8221; a time of famines and unrest. (See <a href="http://ngm.nationalgeographic.com/2008/01/volcano-culture/mount-tambora-photography">pictures of the Mount Tambora eruption</a>.)</p>
<p>All  these changes would also alter circulation patterns in the tropical  atmosphere, reducing precipitation by 10 percent globally for one to  four years, the scientists said. Even after seven years, global average  precipitation would be 5 percent lower than it was before the conflict,  according to the model.</p>
<p>In addition, researcher <a href="http://acd.ucar.edu/%7Emmills/">Michael Mills</a>,  of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Colorado, found  large decreases in the protective ozone layer, leading to much more  ultraviolet radiation reaching Earth&#8217;s surface and harming the  environment and people.</p>
<p>&#8220;The main message from our work,&#8221; NASA&#8217;s  Oman said, &#8220;would be that even a regional nuclear conflict would have  global consequences.&#8221;</p>
<p><img src="/Users/Tevinh/AppData/Local/Temp/moz-screenshot.png" alt="" /></p>
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